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Research from Friday’s close · next update overnight after Monday’s close

Sagehood30
CRWD

CRWD Research brief

CrowdStrike

Adjusted close as of 2026-10-30
$250.43(−4.10%)

Sagehood’s view on CRWD

CrowdStrike · Research 2026-10-30 · Accepted

Research score

62Neutral50 is balancedScore change +1 since 2026-10-29, from 61 to 62; view unchanged at Neutral. Compare the two recordsConfidence 65 · It is not a calibrated probability of investment success.Confidence across the 100 names in this research run: 45 to 70, median 55.
How to read this score

In Sagehood30 · book 2026-10-30In the current Top-7 book

Dated research brief

WhyCRWD looks neutral because 24.3% revenue growth clears the sector median while the −2.5% operating margin lags it badly. The unresolved risk is the 85% gap between the $37.4 base value and the $250.43 close.
What argues against this viewThe strongest case against the neutral view is the top in-sector rank, 1st of 28 peers with 126-day RS of +108.7 percentage points. If that leadership persists, the momentum case outweighs the 85% gap between the $37.4 base value and the $250.43 close.
Break conditionFrom the financial specialist: A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth-led claim.Tests that specialist’s reading, not this page’s whole Neutral view.

Sagehood does not check this condition automatically. See research limitations below.

Valuation range

No model fair value · the discounted cash flow model declined

The valuation model declined to give a fair value for this stock: the close ($250.43) was 6.7 times the model’s cash-flow estimate ($37.40).

Close $250.43 (recorded) on 2026-10-30; estimates use fundamentals to 2026-07-31.

The peer-multiple estimate is not shown: the close is 7.3 times the estimate.

Rejected model output (not a valuation)
Bear
$15.00
Base
$37.40
Bull
$71.80

The model’s own grid cells, kept for reference. The model’s own check rejected them: they are not a valuation and not a price target.

Against peers

Information Technology
MultipleCRWDGroup medianPercentile
P/E (TTM)6,678.13×29.89×100th
P/S47.87×6.59×96th
P/B50.63×8.30×100th
FCF yield0.62%2.61%7th

Those medians include figures from another company that are withheld on its own page; see “Valuation & peers”.

Score details & research limitations9 unavailable fields
Conditions Sagehood can check on its ownNot available in this run. A written break condition is not an automated check; this run does not provide a source-linked rule Sagehood can verify on its own.

Where the break condition comes from: Sagehood research took this condition from the financial specialist. It tests that specialist’s own reading, so it does not say everything that would change this page’s Neutral view.

How to read this research

The score expresses the published research view. 50 is balanced.

Bullish, Neutral or Bearish beside the score is the direction of that view, set by the research from the score: 65 and above is Bullish, 45 to 64 Neutral, 44 and below Bearish.

Confidence is how well the evidence supports this view, not which way it points: Sagehood research is asked to keep it no higher than its most confident specialist, and lower when the specialists disagree or much of the evidence is weak. It is not a calibrated probability of investment success.

Source verification checks the identity and origin of evidence. It does not prove that a claim is correct or that an investment will succeed.

Valuation estimates depend on their inputs and assumptions. They are not guaranteed future prices.

Retrospective research looks back at an earlier period. It is not a verified record of a decision made then using only information available then.

Unavailable is not zero. Read the adjacent reason: information may be missing, unverified or deliberately withheld.

How Sagehood works

The session this view is fixed to

Close$250.43 on 2026-10-30, as the research recorded it
Change on the day−4.10%
First eligible market session2026-11-02

Recorded score context

Specialist source coverage7 of 10 specialists have a verified source on this run. 3 do not.
Score reconciliationThe 7 specialist contributions shown add up to the weighted starting point this score was built from.
Change since the last accepted run61 on 2026-10-29 → 62 on 2026-10-30 (+1 point). This is simple arithmetic between the two published scores, not an explanation of the change.
The run this is compared withResearch of 2026-10-29

Not in this run: Run-specific score definition, Confidence band, Horizon, Why the score changed, Today's unexplained move and Blockers.

What this was built from

Filing cited in the evidenceNot recorded on this card. The newest filing on record is under Key financials, and recent filings are listed under SEC filings.
Peer set27 names in Information Technology, listed with how they were chosen under “Valuation & peers”. The valuation range says why the peer-multiple estimate is not shown.

Not in this run: Company profile date and Standing disclosure.

Not available in this run

9 fields are unavailable. Each is identified with its reason above; missing information is not zero or a negative research signal.

Price context

· adjusted close $250.43

+47.6% from 2026-06-25

Recent price-basis check: 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-30 (20 sessions). Economic comparability outside this window remains unchecked.

CRWD adjusted close
Adjusted price · USD · viewing 2026-06-25 to 2026-10-30

Selected 2026-10-30. CRWD adjusted close. Continuous series. $250.43 US dollars.

90 daily adjusted-price observations through 2026-10-30, ending at the 2026-10-30 research date. The final point is a dated final close. Shown for context, not point-in-time research evidence: the research used the prices recorded with it.

Use the arrow keys on the chart to step through observations.

Published score history

2026-07-23 to 2026-10-30 · 37 publications

Each point is a verified published score. The line breaks where the research method changed (4 methods, numbered in the order they were first used), so scores are not joined across methods. Hollow points were published after their decision window (retrospective).

Every published score and confidence
Research dateScoreViewConfidenceMethod
2026-10-3062Neutral65Method 4
2026-10-2961Neutral60Method 4
2026-10-2864Neutral65Method 4
2026-10-2766Bullish70Method 4
2026-10-2661Neutral60Method 4
2026-10-2360Neutral60Method 4
2026-10-2256Neutral60Method 4
2026-10-2154Neutral49Method 4
2026-10-1655Neutral55Method 4
2026-10-0966Bullish68Method 4
2026-10-0763Neutral62Method 4
2026-10-0260Neutral62Method 4
2026-10-0164Neutral65Method 4
2026-09-3058Neutral62Method 4
2026-09-2958Neutral70Method 4
2026-09-2858Neutral70Method 4
2026-09-2560Neutral62Method 4
2026-09-24 · retrospective60Neutral58Method 4
2026-09-2359Neutral58Method 4
2026-09-1861Neutral70Method 4
2026-09-16 · retrospective58Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-09 · retrospective54Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-0452Neutral55Method 4
2026-09-01 · retrospective54Neutral70Method 4
2026-08-31 · retrospective55Neutral63Method 3
2026-08-2852Neutral63Method 3
2026-08-26 · retrospective59Neutral61Method 3
2026-08-24 · retrospective59Neutral61Method 3
2026-08-20 · retrospective60Neutral60Method 3
2026-08-19 · retrospective62Neutral70Method 3
2026-08-1458Neutral73Method 2
2026-08-1357Neutral73Method 1
2026-08-0756Neutral73Method 1
2026-08-0656Neutral73Method 1
2026-08-0457Neutral73Method 1
2026-07-3157Neutral65Method 1
2026-07-2361Neutral55Method 1

Specialists

7 of 10 published specialist analyses are available.

Each specialist’s view is shown as the published research recorded it; supporting detail appears only when it was recorded with that same view.

3 unavailable

CRWD research

Financial specialist

Showing Financial specialist result.

Financial specialist

Evaluated for this session

Neutral

CrowdStrike grows at 24.3% trailing-twelve-month revenue growth, above the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, but its −2.5% operating margin sits far below the 23.2% sector operating-margin median.

Full analyst note

What the specialist sees

Evidence: trailing-twelve-month revenue was $5,396 million with revenue growth of 24.3% against the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, while trailing-twelve-month operating margin was −2.5% against the 23.2% sector operating-margin median.

Why it matters now

Revenue growth above the sector revenue-growth median with a negative operating margin implies share gains are not yet converting into peer-level profitability, though the path to profitability is unobserved.

What could change the view

Countercase: If the next filing shows operating margin staying negative while revenue growth decelerates below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, the growth-led read would be wrong. Falsifier: A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth-led claim.

Specialist score details
Specialist score
58
Evidence confidence
60
Base weight for this role
0.13
Base weight × confidence
7.80
Weight in the score (the chip's weight)
0.18
Weighted contribution
10.21
Business driver
Trailing-twelve-month revenue was $5,396 million with revenue growth of 24.3% against the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, while trailing-twelve-month operating margin was −2.5% against the 23.2% sector operating-margin median.
Mechanism
Revenue growth above the sector revenue-growth median with a negative operating margin implies share gains are not yet converting into peer-level profitability, though the path to profitability is unobserved.
Countercase
If the next filing shows operating margin staying negative while revenue growth decelerates below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, the growth-led read would be wrong.
Contributions & coverage details

Specialist contributions

Each specialist’s recorded numbers, in the usual specialist order, as recorded: nothing is re-ranked or recalculated. Weights and contributions show two decimals; hover for the exact value.

Financial specialist

Neutral

Score
58
Evidence confidence
60
Weight in the score
0.18
Weighted contribution
10.21

Risk specialist

Neutral

Score
45
Evidence confidence
55
Weight in the score
0.10
Weighted contribution
4.47

Sector specialist

Neutral

Score
62
Evidence confidence
62
Weight in the score
0.14
Weighted contribution
8.68

SEC filings specialist

Neutral

Score
50
Evidence confidence
55
Weight in the score
0.04
Weighted contribution
1.86

News specialist

Neutral

Score
47
Evidence confidence
44
Weight in the score
0.11
Weighted contribution
5.14

Price-trend specialist

Bullish

Score
72
Evidence confidence
75
Weight in the score
0.34
Weighted contribution
24.38

Economy specialist

Neutral

Score
51
Evidence confidence
55
Weight in the score
0.10
Weighted contribution
5.07

Published specialist analyses unavailable: Valuation specialist, Geopolitics specialist, Social-media specialist. No specialist result is inferred.

  • Valuation specialist: The valuation specialist did not vote on this run because the valuation model declined to give a fair value: the close ($250.43) was 6.7 times the model’s cash-flow estimate ($37.40).
  • Geopolitics specialist: This specialist had no checked public source on this run, so no source-backed analysis is shown.
  • Social-media specialist: This specialist had no checked public source on this run, so no source-backed analysis is shown.

How this insight was formed

Each specialist view shown here is checked against the published research files. Sagehood research combined those views into the one Research Score above.

Evidence & method

Inspect the reasoning, source records and valuation behind this dated view.

Sagehood research reasoningSpecialist reasoning, selected statements and filing context
Accepted publication2026-10-30 researchNext eligible session 2026-11-02point-in-time

CRWD: Sagehood research reasoning

Accepted research score

62

Neutral50 is balanced
Lead specialist in the research decision:

Financial specialist

Neutral

Specialist score 58Evidence confidence 60
What the specialist sees

Trailing-twelve-month revenue was $5,396 million with revenue growth of 24.3% against the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, while trailing-twelve-month operating margin was −2.5% against the 23.2% sector operating-margin median.

Why it matters

Revenue growth above the sector revenue-growth median with a negative operating margin implies share gains are not yet converting into peer-level profitability, though the path to profitability is unobserved.

What argues against it

If the next filing shows operating margin staying negative while revenue growth decelerates below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median, the growth-led read would be wrong.

This specialist’s break condition: A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth-led claim.

How the score was formed

The specialists’ weighted starting point was 59.81. Sagehood research’s adjustment was +2.19. 61 on 2026-10-29 → 62 on 2026-10-30 (+1 point). This is simple arithmetic between the two published scores, not an explanation of the change.

Evidence Sagehood research weighed

These selected claims are evidence Sagehood research weighed, not a reconstruction of the numeric adjustment.

Claims as this research published them. Sagehood confirms each claim and its support were published together with this research. That is not an independent check, and it does not prove the claim is accurate or predict future performance.

  1. Financial specialist

    Same statement as under “What the specialist sees” above.

  2. Price-trend specialist

    Close $250.43 is 49.7% above 200-day average and 4.2% above 50-day average; the 5-year channel slopes 40.6% annualized with fit R² 0.75 and the 1-year channel 156.3% with fit R² 0.68, while 14-day ADX (trend strength) is 17.7 and the golden cross is 111 days old.

  3. Sector specialist

    CrowdStrike is the top-ranked Information Technology name, 1st of 28 peers, with 126-day in-sector RS of +108.7 percentage points and 63-day of +22.7 percentage points.

Sagehood research decision

The investment case, main risk and break condition are the ones shown under Sagehood’s view at the top of this page.

Recorded break condition
Break condition as kept in the decision trail

A later reading showing TTM revenue growth below the 23.1% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth-led claim.

Evidence & sourcesClaim-support availability, filing-context links and research method

CRWD: This run has no checked links from its claims to their evidence. The specialists’ writing is shown as recorded, and no missing evidence is filled in.

Accepted research

Research dated 2026-10-30.

How this research was made

This research is AI-generated and is not investment advice.

Research date
2026-10-30
Valuation & peersInput limits notedFair-value cells, peer multiples and the inputs behind the range

Valuation: the model declined to give a fair value

Against the 2026-10-30 close of $250.43 (recorded)

Fundamentals reference date: 2026-07-31.

The valuation model declined to give a fair value for this stock: the close ($250.43) was 6.7 times the model’s cash-flow estimate ($37.40).

Rejected model output (not a valuation)

The discounted cash flow grid cells this run nominated, kept for reference. The model’s own check rejected them: they are not a valuation and not a price target.

Bear
$15.00−94% vs close
Base
$37.40−85% vs close
Bull
$71.80−71% vs close

The bear and base cases sit more than 5× from the close: extreme scenarios, shown as the model computed them.

The peer-multiple estimate is not shown: the close is 7.3 times the estimate.

Peers: the 27 Liquid 100 names in Information Technology that this run priced. Companies outside the Liquid 100 are not in the set.

The 27 names

AAPL, AMD, APH, AVGO, CRM, CSCO, DELL, GEN, GLW, HPE, HPQ, INTC, KLAC, LRCX, MCHP, MRVL, MSFT, MU, NOW, NVDA, ON, ORCL, PLTR, QCOM, SMCI, SNDK, WDC.

Multiples against the peer group

Information Technology · 27 companies in the group

Sector median includes AVGO, whose per-share figure failed the share-basis check in this research.

  • Price to earnings (trailing twelve months)6,678.13×

    Peer median 29.89× · middle half 19.24× to 45.53× · 100th percentile of the group

  • Price to sales47.87×

    Peer median 6.59× · middle half 4.55× to 11.36× · 96th percentile of the group

  • Price to book50.63×

    Peer median 8.30× · middle half 6.41× to 15.04× · 100th percentile of the group

  • Free cash flow yield0.62%

    Peer median 2.61% · middle half 1.75% to 5.43% · 7th percentile of the group

This run declares Enterprise value to EBITDA and computes no value for it, for this company or for its peer group.

Evidence limits: 7 valuation inputs required conservative handling: another valuation input required conservative handling; no full-year shares-outstanding figure was filed; depreciation and amortization were available but not used because this version does not compute an EV/EBITDA multiple; debt coverage was incomplete.

Includes the currently displayed specialist or comparison, not every specialist. Dates and limitations remain attached.

Sagehood research is for general information. It is not individualized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

CrowdStrike (CRWD) research | Sagehood