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WFC

WFC Research brief

Wells Fargo

Adjusted close as of 2026-10-30
$83.40(−1.66%)

Sagehood’s view on WFC

Wells Fargo · Research 2026-10-30 · Accepted

Research score

51Neutral50 is balancedScore unchanged since 2026-10-29 at 51; view unchanged at Neutral. Compare the two recordsConfidence 50 · It is not a calibrated probability of investment success.Confidence across the 100 names in this research run: 45 to 70, median 55.
How to read this score

Dated research brief

WhyThe neutral view is driven by revenue growth slowing to 2.0% from 8.6%, against a 26.3% net margin and 12.8% return on equity. The unresolved risk is a 47% upside gap to the $122.5 base fair value that the flat trend has not closed.
What argues against this viewThe strongest case against the neutral stance is valuation: base fair value of $122.5 per share implies 47% upside from the $83.40 close. The five-year channel still slopes 21.6% per year with an fit R² of 0.80.
Break conditionFrom the financial specialist: A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth claim.Tests that specialist’s reading, not this page’s whole Neutral view.

Sagehood does not check this condition automatically. See research limitations below.

Valuation range

Close vs. model fair value · exit earnings multiple

Bear
$40.30
Base
$122.50
Bull
$282.90

Base case +47% vs. the 2026-10-30 close, on fundamentals to 2026-09-30. Peer-implied median $87.57 from 3 peer-median multiples. Estimates from this research’s valuation model, not a price target.

Against peers

Financials
MultipleWFCGroup medianPercentile
P/E (TTM)11.76×12.57×22nd
P/S2.98×3.13×40th
P/B1.48×1.29×60th
Score details & research limitations9 unavailable fields
Conditions Sagehood can check on its ownNot available in this run. A written break condition is not an automated check; this run does not provide a source-linked rule Sagehood can verify on its own.

Where the break condition comes from: Sagehood research took this condition from the financial specialist. It tests that specialist’s own reading, so it does not say everything that would change this page’s Neutral view.

How to read this research

The score expresses the published research view. 50 is balanced.

Bullish, Neutral or Bearish beside the score is the direction of that view, set by the research from the score: 65 and above is Bullish, 45 to 64 Neutral, 44 and below Bearish.

Confidence is how well the evidence supports this view, not which way it points: Sagehood research is asked to keep it no higher than its most confident specialist, and lower when the specialists disagree or much of the evidence is weak. It is not a calibrated probability of investment success.

Source verification checks the identity and origin of evidence. It does not prove that a claim is correct or that an investment will succeed.

Valuation estimates depend on their inputs and assumptions. They are not guaranteed future prices.

Retrospective research looks back at an earlier period. It is not a verified record of a decision made then using only information available then.

Unavailable is not zero. Read the adjacent reason: information may be missing, unverified or deliberately withheld.

How Sagehood works

The session this view is fixed to

Close$83.40 on 2026-10-30, as the research recorded it
Change on the day−1.66%
First eligible market session2026-11-02

Recorded score context

Specialist source coverage8 of 10 specialists have a verified source on this run. 2 do not.
Score reconciliationThe 8 specialist contributions shown add up to the weighted starting point this score was built from.
Change since the last accepted run51 on 2026-10-29 → 51 on 2026-10-30 (0 points). This is simple arithmetic between the two published scores, not an explanation of the change.
The run this is compared withResearch of 2026-10-29

Not in this run: Run-specific score definition, Confidence band, Horizon, Why the score changed, Today's unexplained move and Blockers.

What this was built from

Filing cited in the evidenceNot recorded on this card. The newest filing on record is under Key financials, and recent filings are listed under SEC filings.
Peer set10 names in Financials: BAC, C, COIN, HBAN, HOOD, KEY, PYPL, RF, SCHW, TFC. How they were chosen is under “Valuation & peers”. The valuation range shows the peer-implied median from 3 peer-median multiples.

Not in this run: Company profile date and Standing disclosure.

Not available in this run

9 fields are unavailable. Each is identified with its reason above; missing information is not zero or a negative research signal.

Price context

· adjusted close $83.40

−1.0% from 2026-06-25

Recent price-basis check: 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-30 (20 sessions). Economic comparability outside this window remains unchecked.

WFC adjusted close
Adjusted price · USD · viewing 2026-06-25 to 2026-10-30

Selected 2026-10-30. WFC adjusted close. Continuous series. $83.40 US dollars.

90 daily adjusted-price observations through 2026-10-30, ending at the 2026-10-30 research date. The final point is a dated final close. Shown for context, not point-in-time research evidence: the research used the prices recorded with it.

Use the arrow keys on the chart to step through observations.

Published score history

2026-07-23 to 2026-10-30 · 37 publications

Each point is a verified published score. The line breaks where the research method changed (4 methods, numbered in the order they were first used), so scores are not joined across methods. Hollow points were published after their decision window (retrospective).

Every published score and confidence
Research dateScoreViewConfidenceMethod
2026-10-3051Neutral50Method 4
2026-10-2951Neutral55Method 4
2026-10-2852Neutral49Method 4
2026-10-2752Neutral55Method 4
2026-10-2652Neutral50Method 4
2026-10-2351Neutral55Method 4
2026-10-2252Neutral55Method 4
2026-10-2152Neutral50Method 4
2026-10-1650Neutral50Method 4
2026-10-0950Neutral45Method 4
2026-10-0750Neutral45Method 4
2026-10-0249Neutral42Method 4
2026-10-0148Neutral55Method 4
2026-09-3048Neutral55Method 4
2026-09-2949Neutral55Method 4
2026-09-2849Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-2546Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-24 · retrospective48Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-2345Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-1853Neutral65Method 4
2026-09-16 · retrospective53Neutral55Method 4
2026-09-09 · retrospective57Neutral62Method 4
2026-09-0455Neutral60Method 4
2026-09-01 · retrospective54Neutral70Method 4
2026-08-31 · retrospective58Neutral68Method 3
2026-08-2859Neutral71Method 3
2026-08-26 · retrospective59Neutral68Method 3
2026-08-24 · retrospective58Neutral71Method 3
2026-08-20 · retrospective59Neutral71Method 3
2026-08-19 · retrospective59Neutral71Method 3
2026-08-1461Neutral71Method 2
2026-08-1358Neutral71Method 1
2026-08-0757Neutral71Method 1
2026-08-0657Neutral71Method 1
2026-08-0458Neutral71Method 1
2026-07-3151Neutral68Method 1
2026-07-2354Neutral56Method 1

Specialists

8 of 10 published specialist analyses are available.

Each specialist’s view is shown as the published research recorded it; supporting detail appears only when it was recorded with that same view.

2 unavailable

WFC research

Financial specialist

Showing Financial specialist result.

Financial specialist

Evaluated for this session

Neutral

Wells Fargo earns a 26.3% trailing-twelve-month net margin and 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE on $87,230 million of trailing-twelve-month revenue, but growth decelerated to 2.0% in the latest quarter and equity is falling.

Full analyst note

What the specialist sees

Evidence: Wells Fargo shows trailing-twelve-month revenue of $87,230 million with 5.4% growth, a 26.3% trailing-twelve-month net margin, and a 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE, while the latest quarter's revenue growth slowed to 2.0% from 8.6%.

Why it matters now

If the 2.0% latest-quarter revenue growth persists, the bank's earnings base would grow more slowly than the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median, pressuring the 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE.

What could change the view

Countercase: The read would be wrong if the 2.0% latest-quarter revenue growth is a one-off and the 8.6% prior quarter resumes, or if the falling equity trend reflects payouts rather than weakening capital. Falsifier: A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth claim.

Specialist score details
Specialist score
47
Evidence confidence
60
Base weight for this role
0.13
Base weight × confidence
7.80
Weight in the score (the chip's weight)
0.17
Weighted contribution
7.91
Business driver
Wells Fargo shows trailing-twelve-month revenue of $87,230 million with 5.4% growth, a 26.3% trailing-twelve-month net margin, and a 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE, while the latest quarter's revenue growth slowed to 2.0% from 8.6%.
Mechanism
If the 2.0% latest-quarter revenue growth persists, the bank's earnings base would grow more slowly than the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median, pressuring the 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE.
Countercase
The read would be wrong if the 2.0% latest-quarter revenue growth is a one-off and the 8.6% prior quarter resumes, or if the falling equity trend reflects payouts rather than weakening capital.
Contributions & coverage details

Specialist contributions

Each specialist’s recorded numbers, in the usual specialist order, as recorded: nothing is re-ranked or recalculated. Weights and contributions show two decimals; hover for the exact value.

Financial specialist

Neutral

Score
47
Evidence confidence
60
Weight in the score
0.17
Weighted contribution
7.91

Risk specialist

Neutral

Score
55
Evidence confidence
70
Weight in the score
0.12
Weighted contribution
6.65

Sector specialist

Neutral

Score
47
Evidence confidence
55
Weight in the score
0.12
Weighted contribution
5.58

SEC filings specialist

Neutral

Score
50
Evidence confidence
62
Weight in the score
0.04
Weighted contribution
2.01

News specialist

Neutral

Score
50
Evidence confidence
38
Weight in the score
0.09
Weighted contribution
4.51

Price-trend specialist

Neutral

Score
52
Evidence confidence
55
Weight in the score
0.24
Weighted contribution
12.34

Valuation specialist

Neutral

Score
55
Evidence confidence
35
Weight in the score
0.12
Weighted contribution
6.65

Economy specialist

Neutral

Score
52
Evidence confidence
60
Weight in the score
0.10
Weighted contribution
5.39

Published specialist analyses unavailable: Geopolitics specialist, Social-media specialist. No specialist result is inferred.

  • Geopolitics specialist: This specialist had no checked public source on this run, so no source-backed analysis is shown.
  • Social-media specialist: This specialist had no checked public source on this run, so no source-backed analysis is shown.

How this insight was formed

Each specialist view shown here is checked against the published research files. Sagehood research combined those views into the one Research Score above.

Evidence & method

Inspect the reasoning, source records and valuation behind this dated view.

Sagehood research reasoningSpecialist reasoning, selected statements and filing context
Accepted publication2026-10-30 researchNext eligible session 2026-11-02point-in-time

WFC: Sagehood research reasoning

Accepted research score

51

Neutral50 is balanced
Lead specialist in the research decision:

Financial specialist

Neutral

Specialist score 47Evidence confidence 60
What the specialist sees

Wells Fargo shows trailing-twelve-month revenue of $87,230 million with 5.4% growth, a 26.3% trailing-twelve-month net margin, and a 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE, while the latest quarter's revenue growth slowed to 2.0% from 8.6%.

Why it matters

If the 2.0% latest-quarter revenue growth persists, the bank's earnings base would grow more slowly than the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median, pressuring the 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE.

What argues against it

The read would be wrong if the 2.0% latest-quarter revenue growth is a one-off and the 8.6% prior quarter resumes, or if the falling equity trend reflects payouts rather than weakening capital.

This specialist’s break condition: A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth claim.

How the score was formed

The specialists’ weighted starting point was 51.03. Sagehood research’s adjustment was −0.03. 51 on 2026-10-29 → 51 on 2026-10-30 (0 points). This is simple arithmetic between the two published scores, not an explanation of the change.

Evidence Sagehood research weighed

These selected claims are evidence Sagehood research weighed, not a reconstruction of the numeric adjustment.

Claims as this research published them. Sagehood confirms each claim and its support were published together with this research. That is not an independent check, and it does not prove the claim is accurate or predict future performance.

  1. Financial specialist

    Same statement as under “What the specialist sees” above.

  2. Price-trend specialist

    Close $83.40 sits 0.4% above 200-day average and 1.1% below 50-day average, with the 5-year channel slope +21.6%/yr (fit R² 0.80) but the 1-year slope −3.5%/yr and 90-day −13.2%/yr; 14-day ADX (trend strength) is 15.2 and rsi14W 49.0.

  3. Risk specialist

    WFC shows twenty-day annualized volatility 23.0% against sixty-day annualized volatility 22.7% with volatility trend stable, drawdown from the one-year high −12.1% versus maximum one-year drawdown −23.0%, one-year large daily-move count 4, worst five-day return over one year −8.7%, downside beta 0.47 below SPY beta 0.69, and twenty-day average dollar volume $1.29 billion.

Sagehood research decision

The investment case, main risk and break condition are the ones shown under Sagehood’s view at the top of this page.

Recorded break condition
Break condition as kept in the decision trail

A later reading showing TTM revenue growth below the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth claim.

Evidence & sourcesClaim-support availability, filing-context links and research method

WFC: This run has no checked links from its claims to their evidence. The specialists’ writing is shown as recorded, and no missing evidence is filled in.

Research evidence at a glance

Accepted specialist evidence · no score adjustment

Key figures

Fundamentals

Wells Fargo shows trailing-twelve-month revenue of $87,230 million with 5.4% growth, a 26.3% trailing-twelve-month net margin, and a 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE, while the latest quarter's revenue growth slowed to 2.0% from 8.6%.

Valuation model

The EPS-model base case at 17.3% EPS growth and an exit P/E of 12.6 gives a fair value of $122.5 and 47% upside, while the peer-implied median of $87.57 rests on 3 implied prices and sits 5.0% above the $83.40 close.

Potential upside

  • Wells Fargo trades at $83.40 against a base EPS-model fair value of $122.5 (exit P/E 12.6, 17.3% EPS growth), about 47% upside, while the peer-implied median of $87.57 sits only 5.0% above the close.

Potential downside

  • Wells Fargo earns a 26.3% trailing-twelve-month net margin and 12.8% trailing-twelve-month ROE on $87,230 million of trailing-twelve-month revenue, but growth decelerated to 2.0% in the latest quarter and equity is falling.

Questions to watch

  • A later reading showing trailing-twelve-month revenue growth below the 5.4% sector revenue-growth median would break the growth claim.

  • A later reading showing EPS growth below the threshold of 2.4% would break the base EPS path, since that row's fair value of $62.1 sits below the $83.40 close.

Accepted research

Research dated 2026-10-30.

How this research was made

This research is AI-generated and is not investment advice.

Research date
2026-10-30
Valuation & peersInput limits notedFair-value cells, peer multiples and the inputs behind the range

Valuation the research computed

Against the 2026-10-30 close of $83.40 (recorded)

Fundamentals reference date: 2026-09-30.

Fair value by exit earnings multiple, at the cells this run nominated.

Bear
$40.30−52% vs close
Base
$122.50+47% vs close
Bull
$282.90+239% vs close

Implied by the median of 3 peer-median multiples: $87.57 (+5% vs close)

Peers: the 10 Liquid 100 names in Financials that this run priced. Companies outside the Liquid 100 are not in the set.

The names: BAC, C, COIN, HBAN, HOOD, KEY, PYPL, RF, SCHW, TFC.

Multiples against the peer group

Financials · 10 companies in the group

  • Price to earnings (trailing twelve months)11.76×

    Peer median 12.57× · middle half 11.91× to 16.04× · 22nd percentile of the group

  • Price to sales2.98×

    Peer median 3.13× · middle half 2.91× to 5.26× · 40th percentile of the group

  • Price to book1.48×

    Peer median 1.29× · middle half 1.12× to 2.72× · 60th percentile of the group

  • Free cash flow yieldNot computed in this research

    Free cash flow is not in the financial analysis for financial and real-estate names, and no fair-value figure in this research uses it, including the peer-implied figure.

This run declares Enterprise value to EBITDA and computes no value for it, for this company or for its peer group.

Evidence limits: 10 valuation inputs required conservative handling: capital spending was unavailable; no full-year gross-profit line was filed; another valuation input required conservative handling; no full-year operating income was filed; depreciation and amortization were available but not used because this version does not compute an EV/EBITDA multiple.

Includes the currently displayed specialist or comparison, not every specialist. Dates and limitations remain attached.

Sagehood research is for general information. It is not individualized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Wells Fargo (WFC) research | Sagehood